US Election: Poll Shows Muslim Vote Split Between Kamala Harris, Jill Stein
The poll, released on Friday by the Council on American-Islamic Relations (CAIR), indicates Stein and Harris are in a statistical tie, with 42 percent of respondents supporting Stein and 41 percent backing Harris. The poll’s margin of error is 2.5 percent.
The findings mark a shift in the Muslim American electorate. An earlier CAIR poll from August 29 also showed Stein and Harris tied, with 29 percent planning to vote for Stein and 28 percent for Harris.
Since then, many previously undecided voters appear to have made up their minds, with undecided respondents dropping from 16 percent in August to just 0.8 percent in the latest poll.
Support for Republican candidate Donald Trump remains relatively low among Muslim American voters, with Friday’s poll showing he is expected to secure around 10 percent of their vote, a figure that has remained stable since August.
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“This final national poll of American-Muslim voters confirms that our community members are deeply engaged in the 2024 election, with 95 percent saying they plan to turn out to vote,” CAIR noted in its report.
The results point to new electoral divides within the Muslim American community, where fewer voters now align with the Democratic Party compared to previous elections. In 2020, CAIR’s polling showed 69 percent of Muslim voters backed Joe Biden.
According to CAIR, the shift in voting preferences reflects community concerns about the ongoing Israeli war on Gaza. “The significant drop in support for major presidential candidates compared to 2020 and 2016 is almost certainly a result of community concerns regarding the genocide in Gaza,” the organization stated.
The issue of Palestine and the impact of Israeli atrocities in Gaza have emerged as central concerns for many Muslim American voters this election cycle, often overshadowing domestic issues.
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The topic has spurred protests across U.S. cities and university campuses and has fueled increased voter outreach efforts within the community as demonstrators demanded the Biden administration stop supporting the Israeli genocidal war on Gaza.
The Pew Research Center estimates that approximately 3.45 million Muslims live in the U.S., many in key swing states. CAIR’s data from August indicates there are about 2.5 million registered Muslim voters, underscoring the community's potential influence in close races across the country.
Source: Agencies
